The Haskell Stakes - Percentages & Numbers
- Jul 10
- 6 min read
Updated: Oct 15

Winning Percentages over the past 24 years:
58%: Chef Index 3.00 and over 14 out of 24
25%: Chef Index 2.00 to 2.90 6 out of 24
16%: Chef Index under 2.00 4 out of 24
70% Forward Runners 17 out of 24
30% Mid & Rear Runners 7 out of 24
100% Sloppy Track Index over 3.00 3 out of 3
84% Mares Stamina Dominant 20 out of 24
8% Mares Speed Dominant 2 out of 24
8% Mares Even Balance 2 out of 24
92% 12f Belmont or 10f Kentucky Derby Configurations: 22 out of 24
8% Not Belmont or Derby Configurations: 2 out of 24
2025 HASKELL POTENTIAL CONTENDERS:
Full Analysis will be posted once Final Field & Past Performance Sheets are released.
BEST ALIGNMENT FOR WIN IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:
Kentucky Outlaw - 4.33
DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.88
Mares = 6-3-7-10-3 Speed = 9 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.96 Triads = 16-20-20
Hill Road - 1.46
DP = 3-2-9-2-0 (16) DI = 1.46 CD = 0.38
Mares = 10-2-3-6-10 Speed = 12 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.86 Triads = 15-11-19
Goal Oriented - 1.22
DP = 1-0-9-0-0 (10) DI = 1.22 CD = 0.20
Mares = 4-11-3-14-0 Speed = 15 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.29 Triads = 18-28-17
Journalism - 3.57
DP = 4-5-7-0-0 (16) DI = 3.57 CD = 0.81
Mares = 6-5-4-7-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.84 Triads = 15-16-18 (Freak)
Gosger - 4.33
DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.75
Mares = 9-3-4-7-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.00 Triads = 16-14-18
Final Gambit - 2.20
DP = 2-7-15-0-0 (24) DI = 2.20 CD = 0.46
Mares = 6-9-2-9-4 Speed = 15 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.21 Triads = 17-20-15 (2nd gen Tapit)
HALF-DECENT ALIGNMENT IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:
Bracket Buster - 3.00
DP = 1-4-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.60
Mares = 7-3-5-7-7 Speed = 10 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.85 Triads = 15-15-19
Crudo - 3.00
DP = 3-2-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.80
Mares = 8-6-3-7-8 Speed = 14 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.96 Triads = 17-16-18
Mo Plex - 1.67
DP = 0-2-1-1-0 (4) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.25
Mares = 6-6-4-8-4 Speed = 12 Stamina = 12 Index = 1.10 Triads = 16-18-16
National Law - 1.91
DP = 1-4-11-0-0 (16) DI = 1.91 CD = 0.38
Mares = 6-9-4-8-3 Speed = 15 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.39 Triads = 19-21-15 (2nd gen Tapit)
Uncaged - 3.44
DP = 5-7-7-1-0 (20) DI = 3.44 CD = 0.80
Mares = 7-4-3-8-6 Speed = 11 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.91 Triads = 14-15-17
WORST ALIGNMENT IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:
Burnham Square - 7.80
DP = 4-13-5-0-0 (22) DI = 7.80 CD = 0.95
Mares = 6-7-3-5-6 Speed = 13 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.10 Triads = 16-15-14
Admiral Dennis - 4.00
DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00 CD = 0.70
Mares = 9-4-3-6-8 Speed = 13 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.00 Triads = 16-13-17
Chancer McPatrick - 1.67
DP = 1-2-4-1-0 (8) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.38
Mares= 7-4-4-6-6 Speed = 11 Stamina = 12 Index = 1.00 Triads = 15-14-16
Garamond - 4.33
DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.75
Mares = 11-1-5-5-5 Speed = 12 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.40 Triads = 17-11-15
Instant Replay - 3.00
DP = 3-5-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.71
Mares = 11-2-2-6-9 Speed = 13 Stamina = 15 Index = 1.00 Triads = 15-10-17
Wildncrazynight - 3.00
DP = 0-1-1-0-0 (2) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.50
Mares = 4-4-5-8-2 Speed = 8 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.00 Triads = 13-17-15
PAST WINNERS:
2024 DORNOCH - 2.50
Cloudy Fast - Gate to Wire - Good Magic
DP = 2-4-8-0-0 (14) DI = 2.50 CD = 0.57 Mares = 7-8-2-9-8 Speed = 15 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.89 Triads = 17-19-19
2023 GEAUX ROCKET RIDE - 1.67
Clear Fast - Stalk - Gun Runner
DP = 2-1-4-1-0 (8) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.50 Mares = 4-1-6-6-7 Speed = 5 Stamina = 13 Index = 0.58 Triads = 11-13-19
2022 CYBERKNIFE - 1.67
Clear Fast - Rear - Gun Runner
DP = 0-2-6-0-0 (8) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.25 Mares = 3-2-5-12-6 Speed = 5 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.45 Triads = 10-19-23
2021 MANDALOUN - 11.00
Clear Fast - Stalk - Into Mischief
DP = 2-3-1-0-0 (6) DI = 11.00 CD = 1.17 Mares = 2-9-6-10-2 Speed = 11 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.95 Triads = 17-25-18
2020 AUTHENTIC – 3.00
Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Into Mischief
DP = 4-2-6-0-0 (12) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.83 Mares = 4-7-9-7-3 Speed = 11 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.09 Triads = 20-23-19
2019 MAXIMUM SECURITY – 3.00
Clear Fast – Stalk - New Year’s Day
DP = 5-2-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.86 Mares = 9-3-3-6-10 Speed = 12 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.83 Triads = 15-12-19
2018 GOOD MAGIC – 3.40
Cloudy Fast – Stalk – Curlin
DP = 6-6-10-0-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.82 Mares = 4-7-2-10-8 Speed = 11 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.61 Triads = 13-19-20
2017 GIRVIN – 2.11
Clear Fast – Rear – Tale of Ekati
DP = 4-2-7-1-0 (14) DI = 2.11 CD = 0.64 Mares = 8-6-3-4-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.19 Triads = 17-13-14
2016 EXAGGERATOR – 3.40
Showery Sloppy – Rear – Curlin
DP = 6-6-10-0-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.82 Mares = 5-4-2-9-8 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.59 Triads = 11-15-19
2015 AMERICAN PHAROAH – 4.33
Clear Fast – Stalk – Pioneerof the Nile
DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.88 Mares = 7-4-4-9-4 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.05 Triads = 15-17-17
2014 BAYERN – 3.00
Cloudy Fast – Gate to Wire – Offlee Wild
DP = 8-3-11-0-0 (22) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.86 Mares = 5-3-7-8-6 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.74 Triads = 15-18-21
2013 VERRAZANO – 2.06
Cloudy Fast – Stalk – More Than Ready
DP = 9-0-17-0-0 (26) DI = 2.06 CD = 0.69 Mares = 6-7-6-8-6 Speed = 13 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.96 Triads = 19-21-20
2012 PAYNTER – 2.75
Cloudy Fast – Stalk – Awesome Again
DP = 6-8-16-0-0 (30) DI = 2.75 CD = 0.67 Mares = 8-3-4-10-3 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.15 Triads = 15-17-17
2011 COIL – 1.18
Clear Fast – Rear – Point Given
DP = 2-0-9-1-0 (12) DI = 1.18 CD = 0.25 Mares = 4-8-4-11-3 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.95 Triads = 16-23-18
2010 LOOKIN AT LUCKY – 2.83
Cloudy Fast – Mid – Smart Strike
DP = 10-12-21-0-1 (44) DI = 2.83 CD = 0.68 Mares = 8-4-2-10-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.85 Triads = 14-16-19
2009 RACHEL ALEXANDRA – 3.00
Cloudy Sloppy – Stalk – Medaglia D’Oro
DP = 7-6-7-2-0 (22) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.82 Mares = 9-3-4-6-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.04 Triads = 16-13-17
2008 BIG BROWN – 1.67
Clear Fast – Stalk - Boundary
DP = 4-7-23-2-0 (36) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.36 Mares = 5-6-5-10-5 Speed = 11 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.84 Triads = 16-21-20
2007 ANY GIVEN SATURDAY – 2.75
Clear Fast – Stalk – Distorted Humor
DP = 7-8-14-0-1 (30) DI = 2.75 CD = 0.67 Mares = 7-7-0-8-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.95 Triads = 14-15-15
2006 BLUEGRASS CAT – 3.57
Clear Fast – Stalk – Storm Cat
DP = 10-8-14-0-0 (32) DI = 3.57 CD = 0.88 Mares = 6-6-3-6-8 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.84 Triads = 15-15-17
2005 ROMAN RULER – 4.45
Showery Fast – Mid – Fusaichi Pegasus
DP = 12-7-11-0-0 (30) DI = 4.45 CD = 1.03 Mares = 7-4-3-10-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.78 Triads = 14-17-20
2004 LION HEART – 3.00
Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Tale of the Cat
DP = 6-2-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.88 Mares = 7-7-4-7-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.00 Triads = 18-18-18
2003 PEACE RULES – 4.50
Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Jules
DP = 9-6-6-0-1 (22) DI = 4.50 CD = 1.00 Mares = 4-9-3-11-2 Speed = 13 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.11 Triads = 16-23-16
2002 WAR EMBLEM – 3.40
Cloudy Fast – Gate to Wire – Our Emblem
DP = 9-4-8-1-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.95 Mares = 10-1-6-7-6 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.08 Triads = 17-14-19
2001 POINT GIVEN – 3.00
Cloudy Fast – Rear – Thunder Gulch
DP = 8-0-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 1.00 Mares = 3-7-5-10-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.67 Triads = 15-22-21



Where would you put Baeza, Lisa, or is he going in the Jim Dandy for sure?
Looking forward to the analysis and any reason why Journalism won't win!