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The Haskell Stakes - Percentages & Numbers

  • Jul 10
  • 6 min read

Updated: Oct 15

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Winning Percentages over the past 24 years:


58%: Chef Index 3.00 and over 14 out of 24

25%: Chef Index 2.00 to 2.90 6 out of 24

16%: Chef Index under 2.00 4 out of 24


70% Forward Runners 17 out of 24

30% Mid & Rear Runners 7 out of 24


100% Sloppy Track Index over 3.00 3 out of 3


84% Mares Stamina Dominant 20 out of 24

8% Mares Speed Dominant 2 out of 24

8% Mares Even Balance 2 out of 24


92% 12f Belmont or 10f Kentucky Derby Configurations: 22 out of 24

8% Not Belmont or Derby Configurations: 2 out of 24


2025 HASKELL POTENTIAL CONTENDERS:

Full Analysis will be posted once Final Field & Past Performance Sheets are released.


BEST ALIGNMENT FOR WIN IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:


  • Kentucky Outlaw - 4.33

DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33   CD = 0.88

Mares = 6-3-7-10-3   Speed = 9   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.96   Triads = 16-20-20


  • Hill Road - 1.46

DP = 3-2-9-2-0 (16) DI = 1.46   CD = 0.38

Mares = 10-2-3-6-10   Speed = 12   Stamina = 16   Index = 0.86   Triads = 15-11-19


  • Goal Oriented - 1.22

DP = 1-0-9-0-0 (10) DI = 1.22   CD = 0.20

Mares = 4-11-3-14-0   Speed = 15   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.29   Triads = 18-28-17


  • Journalism - 3.57

DP = 4-5-7-0-0 (16) DI = 3.57   CD = 0.81

Mares = 6-5-4-7-7   Speed = 11   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.84   Triads = 15-16-18 (Freak)


  • Gosger - 4.33

DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33   CD = 0.75

Mares = 9-3-4-7-7   Speed = 12   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.00   Triads = 16-14-18


  • Final Gambit - 2.20

DP = 2-7-15-0-0 (24) DI = 2.20   CD = 0.46

Mares = 6-9-2-9-4   Speed = 15   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.21   Triads = 17-20-15 (2nd gen Tapit)



HALF-DECENT ALIGNMENT IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:


  • Bracket Buster - 3.00

DP = 1-4-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.60

Mares = 7-3-5-7-7   Speed = 10   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.85   Triads = 15-15-19


  • Crudo - 3.00

DP = 3-2-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.80

Mares = 8-6-3-7-8   Speed = 14   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.96   Triads = 17-16-18


  • Mo Plex - 1.67

DP = 0-2-1-1-0 (4) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.25

Mares = 6-6-4-8-4   Speed = 12   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.10   Triads = 16-18-16


  • National Law - 1.91

DP = 1-4-11-0-0 (16) DI = 1.91   CD = 0.38

Mares = 6-9-4-8-3   Speed = 15   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.39   Triads = 19-21-15 (2nd gen Tapit)


  • Uncaged - 3.44

DP = 5-7-7-1-0 (20) DI = 3.44   CD = 0.80

Mares = 7-4-3-8-6   Speed = 11   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.91   Triads = 14-15-17



WORST ALIGNMENT IN NO PARTICULAR ORDER:


  • Burnham Square - 7.80

DP = 4-13-5-0-0 (22) DI = 7.80   CD = 0.95

Mares = 6-7-3-5-6   Speed = 13   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.10   Triads = 16-15-14


  • Admiral Dennis - 4.00

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70

Mares = 9-4-3-6-8   Speed = 13   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.00   Triads = 16-13-17


  • Chancer McPatrick - 1.67

DP = 1-2-4-1-0 (8) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.38

Mares= 7-4-4-6-6   Speed = 11   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.00   Triads = 15-14-16


  • Garamond - 4.33

DP = 1-4-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33   CD = 0.75

Mares = 11-1-5-5-5   Speed = 12   Stamina = 10   Index = 1.40   Triads = 17-11-15


  • Instant Replay - 3.00

DP = 3-5-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.71

Mares = 11-2-2-6-9   Speed = 13   Stamina = 15   Index = 1.00   Triads = 15-10-17


  • Wildncrazynight - 3.00

DP = 0-1-1-0-0 (2) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.50

Mares = 4-4-5-8-2   Speed = 8   Stamina = 10   Index = 1.00   Triads = 13-17-15


PAST WINNERS:


2024 DORNOCH - 2.50

Cloudy Fast - Gate to Wire - Good Magic

DP = 2-4-8-0-0 (14) DI = 2.50   CD = 0.57 Mares = 7-8-2-9-8   Speed = 15   Stamina = 17   Index = 0.89   Triads = 17-19-19


2023 GEAUX ROCKET RIDE - 1.67

Clear Fast - Stalk - Gun Runner

DP = 2-1-4-1-0 (8) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.50 Mares = 4-1-6-6-7   Speed = 5   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.58   Triads = 11-13-19


2022 CYBERKNIFE - 1.67

Clear Fast - Rear - Gun Runner

DP = 0-2-6-0-0 (8) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.25 Mares = 3-2-5-12-6   Speed = 5   Stamina = 18   Index = 0.45   Triads = 10-19-23


2021 MANDALOUN - 11.00

Clear Fast - Stalk - Into Mischief

DP = 2-3-1-0-0 (6) DI = 11.00   CD = 1.17 Mares = 2-9-6-10-2   Speed = 11   Stamina = 12   Index = 0.95   Triads = 17-25-18


2020 AUTHENTIC – 3.00

Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Into Mischief

DP = 4-2-6-0-0 (12) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.83 Mares = 4-7-9-7-3 Speed = 11 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.09 Triads = 20-23-19


2019 MAXIMUM SECURITY – 3.00

Clear Fast – Stalk - New Year’s Day

DP = 5-2-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.86 Mares = 9-3-3-6-10 Speed = 12 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.83 Triads = 15-12-19


2018 GOOD MAGIC – 3.40

Cloudy Fast – Stalk – Curlin

DP = 6-6-10-0-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.82 Mares = 4-7-2-10-8 Speed = 11 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.61 Triads = 13-19-20


2017 GIRVIN – 2.11

Clear Fast – Rear – Tale of Ekati

DP = 4-2-7-1-0 (14) DI = 2.11 CD = 0.64 Mares = 8-6-3-4-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.19 Triads = 17-13-14


2016 EXAGGERATOR – 3.40

Showery Sloppy – Rear – Curlin

DP = 6-6-10-0-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.82 Mares = 5-4-2-9-8 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.59 Triads = 11-15-19


2015 AMERICAN PHAROAH – 4.33

Clear Fast – Stalk – Pioneerof the Nile

DP = 2-3-3-0-0 (8) DI = 4.33 CD = 0.88 Mares = 7-4-4-9-4 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.05 Triads = 15-17-17


2014 BAYERN – 3.00

Cloudy Fast – Gate to Wire – Offlee Wild

DP = 8-3-11-0-0 (22) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.86 Mares = 5-3-7-8-6 Speed = 8 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.74 Triads = 15-18-21


2013 VERRAZANO – 2.06

Cloudy Fast – Stalk – More Than Ready

DP = 9-0-17-0-0 (26) DI = 2.06 CD = 0.69 Mares = 6-7-6-8-6 Speed = 13 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.96 Triads = 19-21-20


2012 PAYNTER – 2.75

Cloudy Fast – Stalk – Awesome Again

DP = 6-8-16-0-0 (30) DI = 2.75 CD = 0.67 Mares = 8-3-4-10-3 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.15 Triads = 15-17-17


2011 COIL – 1.18

Clear Fast – Rear – Point Given

DP = 2-0-9-1-0 (12) DI = 1.18 CD = 0.25 Mares = 4-8-4-11-3 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.95 Triads = 16-23-18


2010 LOOKIN AT LUCKY – 2.83

Cloudy Fast – Mid – Smart Strike

DP = 10-12-21-0-1 (44) DI = 2.83 CD = 0.68 Mares = 8-4-2-10-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.85 Triads = 14-16-19


2009 RACHEL ALEXANDRA – 3.00

Cloudy Sloppy – Stalk – Medaglia D’Oro

DP = 7-6-7-2-0 (22) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.82 Mares = 9-3-4-6-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.04 Triads = 16-13-17


2008 BIG BROWN – 1.67

Clear Fast – Stalk - Boundary

DP = 4-7-23-2-0 (36) DI = 1.67 CD = 0.36 Mares = 5-6-5-10-5 Speed = 11 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.84 Triads = 16-21-20


2007 ANY GIVEN SATURDAY – 2.75

Clear Fast – Stalk – Distorted Humor

DP = 7-8-14-0-1 (30) DI = 2.75 CD = 0.67 Mares = 7-7-0-8-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.95 Triads = 14-15-15


2006 BLUEGRASS CAT – 3.57

Clear Fast – Stalk – Storm Cat

DP = 10-8-14-0-0 (32) DI = 3.57 CD = 0.88 Mares = 6-6-3-6-8 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.84 Triads = 15-15-17


2005 ROMAN RULER – 4.45

Showery Fast – Mid – Fusaichi Pegasus

DP = 12-7-11-0-0 (30) DI = 4.45 CD = 1.03 Mares = 7-4-3-10-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.78 Triads = 14-17-20


2004 LION HEART – 3.00

Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Tale of the Cat

DP = 6-2-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.88 Mares = 7-7-4-7-7 Speed = 14 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.00 Triads = 18-18-18


2003 PEACE RULES – 4.50

Clear Fast – Gate to Wire – Jules

DP = 9-6-6-0-1 (22) DI = 4.50 CD = 1.00 Mares = 4-9-3-11-2 Speed = 13 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.11 Triads = 16-23-16


2002 WAR EMBLEM – 3.40

Cloudy Fast – Gate to Wire – Our Emblem

DP = 9-4-8-1-0 (22) DI = 3.40 CD = 0.95 Mares = 10-1-6-7-6 Speed = 11 Stamina = 13 Index = 1.08 Triads = 17-14-19


2001 POINT GIVEN – 3.00

Cloudy Fast – Rear – Thunder Gulch

DP = 8-0-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 1.00 Mares = 3-7-5-10-6 Speed = 10 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.67 Triads = 15-22-21

 
 
 

3 Comments


Unknown member
Jul 13

Where would you put Baeza, Lisa, or is he going in the Jim Dandy for sure?

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Unknown member
Jul 14
Replying to

He'd be in that top category definitely. I read he was going to the Jim Dandy. I think the post position draw for the Haskell is tomorrow, Tuesday at noon. I guess we'll know for sure then!

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Unknown member
Jul 10

Looking forward to the analysis and any reason why Journalism won't win!

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