2026 Kentucky Derby - Futures Pool Three Ratings
- 10 hours ago
- 12 min read
Future Pool Three - January 16th through January 18th
Ratings pertain strictly to the 10f Kentucky Derby and have no bearing on future Derby Preps. Ratings at 1 heart to the highest at 5 hearts depicting suitability for Board Hit Consideration (superfecta placement) on a Churchill Downs May Track at 10f and assumes a healthy horse from now through to Derby Post Time. It also considers the minimal past performances to date as it aligns with their configurations. (The presence of Tapit is also taken into consideration against the mare configurations.)
BALBOA B Russell Not This Time
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-3-12-0-0 (16) DI = 1.67 Â CD = 0.31 ANZ = 2.33
Mare Profile = 4-9-5-8-4 Â Speed = 13 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 1.05 Â Triads = 18-22-17
Pretty nice configurations but the Performances do not align with inheritance - yet.
BLACKOUT TIME K McPeek Not This Time
Pool 1 Final Odds: 20-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ? ? ?
DP = 2-2-15-2-1 (22) DI = 1.10 Â CD = 0.09 ANZ = 1.48
Mare Profile = 6-11-2-8-6 Â Speed = 17 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 1.14 Â Triads = 19-21-16
Missing in Action. No works since 10/24.
BOYD B Baffert Violence
Pool 1 Final Odds: 39-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 3-5-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.71 ANZ = 2.64
Mare Profile = 8-4-2-8-6 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 14-14-16
Historically, completely off.
BRANT B Baffert Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: 14-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 30-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00 Â CD = 0.70 ANZ = 6.00
Mare Profile = 5-6-4-7-6 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 0.87 Â Triads = 15-17-17
Mares slightly off under the 4.00 index. Still has room & time to prove Candy Ride side.
BUETANE B Baffert Tiz the Law
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 0-3-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00 Â CD = 0.75 ANZ = 15.00
Mare Profile = 10-5-2-5-7 Â Speed = 15 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 1.29 Â Triads = 17-12-14 (3rd gen Tapit)
Tapit helps, but speed inheritance could overwhelm. Nice style, but wait to see his energy distribution at 9f mark.
→ CANNONEER B Cox Into Mischief
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 15-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 2-2-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.75 ANZ = 4.00
Mare Profile = 5-9-5-6-5 Â Speed = 14 Â Stamina = 11 Â Index = 1.14 Â Triads = 19-20-16
Typical Into Mischief configurations, mares balance just like Sovereignty. Nice line through the Chefs.
CHIEF WALLABEE W Mott Constitution
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 3-7-5-1-0 (16) DI = 3.57 Â CD = 0.75
Mare Profile = 7-8-3-4-6 Â Speed = 15 Â Stamina = 10 Â Index = 1.32 Â Triads = 18-15-13 (2nd gen Tapit)
Board Hit numbers with Tapit - barely.
CHIP HONCHO S Asmussen Connect
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-2-6-3-0 (12) DI = 1.00 Â CD = 0.08 ANZ = 1.00
Mare Profile = 6-6-2-10-7 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 17 Â Index = 0.77 Â Triads = 14-18-19
Has 10f+ easily, but needs to exhibit speed side in next prep. These are board-hit numbers, not winning numbers.
CLASS PRESIDENT T Pletcher Uncle Mo
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ +
DP = 0-2-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.50 ANZ = 5.00
Mare Profile = 9-2-6-6-7 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 17-14-19
Not bad, not good - middle of the road configurations.
→ COMMANDMENT B Cox Into Mischief
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 20-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-2-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00 Â CD = 1.00 ANZ = 11.00
Mare Profile = 3-10-5-7-6 Â Speed = 13 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 0.88 Â Triads = 18-22-18
Very nicely arranged Into Mischief numbers and performances align. Nice running style with this set-up.
CROSSINGTHECHANNEL M Trombetta Omaha Beach
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 4-10-8-0-0 (22) DI = 4.50 Â CD = 0.82 ANZ = 6.00
Mare Profile = 6-6-6-4-8 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 0.92 Â Triads = 18-16-18
10f is pushing it. Short Forward speed demon - BC Dirt Mile.
CROWN THE BUCKEYE M Maker Yaupon
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 3-13-4-0-0 (20) DI = 9.00 Â CD = 0.95 ANZ = 9.00
Mare Profile = 6-1-7-7-6 Â Speed = 7 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 0.77 Â Triads = 14-15-20
The horse can't figure out his style based on split profiles. He needs to combine his two set-ups. Wait until he does.
D'CODE H R Ashford Speightstown
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥
DP = 4-5-7-0-0 (16) DI = 3.57 Â CD = 0.81
Mare Profile = 7-4-3-7-5 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 1.05 Â Triads = 14-14-15
Mare's line historically and completely inferior.
DESERT GATE B Baffert Omaha Beach
Pool 1 Final Odds: 59-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ +
DP = 3-4-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.71 ANZ = 6.43
Mare Profile = 7-4-6-4-7 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 11 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 17-14-17
Stamina side deficient. Very odd set-up.
ENGLISHMAN C DeVaux Maxfield
Pool 1 Final Odds: 40-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00 Â CD = 0.70 ANZ = 4.00
Mare Profile = 9-3-3-6-6 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 1.14 Â Triads = 15-12-15
BC Dirt Mile
EWING M Casse Knicks Go
Pool 1 Final Odds: 45-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-3-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.63 ANZ = 4.00
Mare Profile = 10-1-6-10-3 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 1.23 Â Triads = 17-17-19
On the cusp. Sufficient for 10f but not perfection.
EXPRESS KID J Evans Bodexpress
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥
DP = 3-4-3-0-0 (10) DI = 5.67 Â CD = 1.00 ANZ = 4.14
Mare Profile = 5-5-3-10-4 Â Speed = 10 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 0.86 Â Triads = 13-18-17
Poor energy distribution at 1 mile and under and Mares line insufficient - does not bode well for 10f.
→ FURTHER ADO B Cox Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: 21-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 10-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 0-3-7-0-0 (10) DI = 1.86 Â CD = 0.30 ANZ = 3.00
Mare Profile = 7-2-5-8-6 Â Speed = 9 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 0.84 Â Triads = 14-15-19
Speed & endurance capability plus his will & determination dominates many on this list. 10f easy.
INCREDIBOLT R Mott Bolt d'Oro
Pool 1 Final Odds: 34-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 30-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 5-10-10-1-0 (26) DI = 3.33 Â CD = 0.73 ANZ = 3.33
Mare Profile = 11-3-3-5-11 Â Speed = 14 Â Stamina = 16 Â Index = 0.93 Â Triads = 17-11-19
He's normal and safe, but split in his inheritance. 10f is borderline.
INTREPIDO J Mullins Maximus Mischief
Pool 1 Final Odds: 34-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-8-5-0-0 (14) DI = 4.60 Â CD = 0.71 ANZ = 4.60
Mare Profile = 3-6-5-10-4 Â Speed = 9 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 0.74 Â Triads = 14-21-19
Bad time in the Juvenile, needs a redemption race. 10f is there.
IRON HONOR C Brown Nyquist
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ +
DP = 0-0-0-0-0 (0) DI = Inf  CD = Inf ANZ = Inf
Mare Profile = 6-1-6-7-8 Â Speed = 7 Â Stamina = 15 Â Index = 0.66 Â Triads = 13-14-21
Mares say yes to 10f but zero chefs in the 1st four generations of chart is hard to back. Revisit.
LIBERTY NATIONAL K McPeek Maxfield
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-5-6-0-0 (12) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.58 ANZ = 2.60
Mare Profile = 8-4-3-10-4 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 1.10 Â Triads = 15-17-17
10f is in his wheelhouse - needs to produce the speed side now.
LITMUS TEST B Baffert Nyquist
Pool 1 Final Odds: 141-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 20-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.79 ANZ = 4.14
Mare Profile = 7-1-7-4-7 Â Speed = 8 Â Stamina = 11 Â Index = 0.88 Â Triads = 15-12-18
Inferior set-up. Borderline 10f.
MESQUITE C DeVaux Union Rags
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥
DP = 5-5-9-1-0 (20) DI = 2.64 Â CD = 0.70 ANZ = 2.64
Mare Profile = 9-4-2-8-7 Â Speed = 13 Â Stamina = 15 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 15-14-17
Would need to power completely through this set-up for it to work in the Derby
MOB B Lynch Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 0-1-5-0-0 (6) DI = 1.40 Â CD = 0.17 ANZ = 2.11
Mare Profile = 5-4-4-10-6 Â Speed = 9 Â Stamina = 16 Â Index = 0.69 Â Triads = 13-18-20
Typical Gun Runner offspring set up with very respectable configurations historically.
MY WORLD B Cox Essential Quality
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00 Â CD = 0.70 ANZ = 5.00
Mare Profile = 10-5-3-6-7 Â Speed = 15 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 1.22 Â Triads = 18-14-16 (2nd gen Tapit)
Great balance and scale, however, heading to Saudi - usually never the same upon return.
NAPOLEON SOLO C Summers Liam's Map
Pool 1 Final Odds: 27-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 40-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥
DP = 3-13-4-0-0 (20) DI = 9.00 Â CD = 0.95 ANZ = 10.20
Mare Profile = 5-8-2-6-8 Â Speed = 13 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 0.83 Â Triads = 15-16-16
No chance at 10f. None.
NEARLY T Pletcher Not This Time
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 2-2-12-0-0 (16) DI = 1.67 Â CD = 0.38
Mare Profile = 8-9-3-5-8 Â Speed = 17 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 1.17 Â Triads = 20-17-16
Historically, mares are completely backwards for the Derby. Excellent for the Trail though.
OTTINHO C Brown Quality Road
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-3-16-0-0 (20) DI = 1.50 Â CD = 0.25 ANZ = 2.00
Mare Profile = 7-5-3-7-8 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 15 Â Index = 0.85 Â Triads = 15-15-18
10f Distance is there but Speed side is unbalanced.
→ PALADIN C Brown Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: 40-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 10-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-4-7-0-0 (12) DI = 2.43 Â CD = 0.50 ANZ = 4.71
Mare Profile = 5-4-6-6-6 Â Speed = 9 Â Stamina = 12 Â Index = 0.83 Â Triads = 15-16-18 (2nd gen Tapit)
Usually not advantaged (2.43 Tapit), however prominent non-chefs push him over to positive speed side.
→ RENEGADE T Pletcher Into Mischief
Pool 1 Final Odds: 48-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-3-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.63 ANZ = 3.00
Mare Profile = 5-9-4-9-5 Â Speed = 14 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 18-22-18
Fantastic set-up and running style for the 10f at Churchill in May. Perfect.
SECURED FREEDOM T Yakteen Practical Joke
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 1-2-3-0-0 (6) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.67 ANZ = 3.00
Mare Profile = 11-4-3-7-8 Â Speed = 15 Â Stamina = 15 Â Index = 1.12 Â Triads = 18-14-18
Safe & boring set-up. Not bad - but, not smashing either.
SO HAPPY M Glatt Runhappy
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-2-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00 Â CD = 1.00 ANZ = 11.00
Mare Profile = 5-6-5-8-5 Â Speed = 11 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 0.91 Â Triads = 16-19-18
Board hit Potential, especially on a "type two" sloppy track.
STRATEGIC RISK M Casse
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 40-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥
DP = 3-4-4-1-0 (12) DI = 3.00 Â CD = 0.75 ANZ = 3.00
Mare Profile = 10-2-3-10-6 Â Speed = 12 Â Stamina = 16 Â Index = 1.00 Â Triads = 15-15-19
Not bad, just bland. Needs to display much more speed in next.
→ TED NOFFEY T Pletcher Into Mischief
Pool 1 Final Odds: 10-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 6-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-6-1-0-0 (8) DI = 15.00 Â CD = 1.00 ANZ = 19.00
Mare Profile = 3-10-9-9-2 Â Speed = 13 Â Stamina = 11 Â Index = 1.14 Â Triads = 22-28-20
Fantastic colt, Mares side magnificent but chefs side drenched in speed, caution at 10f for now.
THUNDER BUCK B Cox Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-4-9-0-0 (14) DI = 2.11 Â CD = 0.43 ANZ = 3.00
Mare Profile = 7-2-5-9-5 Â Speed = 9 Â Stamina = 14 Â Index = 0.88 Â Triads = 14-16-19
Capable of 10f+ distance, need more evidence of displayed speed to counteract.
→ THUNDEROUSLY W Mott Gun Runner
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +
DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00 Â CD = 0.70 ANZ = 6.00
Mare Profile = 2-6-6-9-6 Â Speed = 8 Â Stamina = 15 Â Index = 0.59 Â Triads = 14-21-21
Possibly the best set-up out of the 39 entries here. Historically, he has KILLER NUMBERS. Rain or shine. Secure those odds.
WAYMARK B Cox Liam's Map
Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥
DP = 4-14-6-0-0 (24) DI = 7.00 Â CD = 0.92 ANZ = 7.00
Mare Profile = 7-7-2-6-7 Â Speed = 14 Â Stamina = 13 Â Index = 1.05 Â Triads = 16-15-15
No chance in May. Breeder's Cup Dirt Mile Material.
WHITE TIGER B Cox Constitution
Pool 1 Final Odds: 59-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ? ? ?
Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥
DP = 2-9-3-0-0 (14) DI = 8.33 Â CD = 0.93 ANZ = 9.67
Mare Profile = 6-8-3-6-3 Â Speed = 14 Â Stamina = 9 Â Index = 1.53 Â Triads = 17-17-12 (2nd gen Tapit)
I could not rate him during Pool One, but after 8.5f maiden score, Tapit side was revealed with Major Speed.