2026 Kentucky Derby - Futures Pool Three Ratings

Future Pool Three - January 16th through January 18th

Ratings pertain strictly to the 10f Kentucky Derby and have no bearing on future Derby Preps. Ratings at 1 heart to the highest at 5 hearts depicting suitability for Board Hit Consideration (superfecta placement) on a Churchill Downs May Track at 10f and assumes a healthy horse from now through to Derby Post Time. It also considers the minimal past performances to date as it aligns with their configurations. (The presence of Tapit is also taken into consideration against the mare configurations.)

BALBOA B Russell Not This Time

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 1-3-12-0-0 (16) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.31 ANZ = 2.33

Mare Profile = 4-9-5-8-4   Speed = 13   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.05   Triads = 18-22-17

• Pretty nice configurations but the Performances do not align with inheritance - yet.

BLACKOUT TIME K McPeek Not This Time

Pool 1 Final Odds: 20-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ? ? ? FINAL ODDS: 43-1

DP = 2-2-15-2-1 (22) DI = 1.10   CD = 0.09 ANZ = 1.48

Mare Profile = 6-11-2-8-6   Speed = 17   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.14   Triads = 19-21-16

• Very promising but Missing in Action. No works since 10/24. Hold off for now.

BOYD B Baffert Violence

Pool 1 Final Odds: 39-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 34-1

DP = 3-5-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.71 ANZ = 2.64

Mare Profile = 8-4-2-8-6   Speed = 12   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.00   Triads = 14-14-16

• Historically, completely off.

BRANT B Baffert Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: 14-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 30-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 23-1

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 6.00

Mare Profile = 5-6-4-7-6   Speed = 11   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.87   Triads = 15-17-17

• Mares slightly off under the 4.00 index. Still has room & time to prove Candy Ride side.

BUETANE B Baffert Tiz the Law

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 78-1

DP = 0-3-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 15.00

Mare Profile = 10-5-2-5-7   Speed = 15   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.29   Triads = 17-12-14 (3rd gen Tapit)

• Tapit helps, but speed inheritance could overwhelm. Nice style, but wait to see his energy distribution at 9f mark.

→ CANNONEER B Cox Into Mischief

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 15-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 24-1

DP = 2-2-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 4.00

Mare Profile = 5-9-5-6-5   Speed = 14   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.14   Triads = 19-20-16

• Typical Into Mischief configurations, mares balance just like Sovereignty. Nice line through the Chefs.

CHIEF WALLABEE W Mott Constitution

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 17-1

DP = 3-7-5-1-0 (16) DI = 3.57   CD = 0.75

Mare Profile = 7-8-3-4-6   Speed = 15   Stamina = 10   Index = 1.32   Triads = 18-15-13 (2nd gen Tapit)

• Board Hit numbers with Tapit - barely.

CHIP HONCHO S Asmussen Connect

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 82-1

DP = 1-2-6-3-0 (12) DI = 1.00   CD = 0.08 ANZ = 1.00

Mare Profile = 6-6-2-10-7   Speed = 12   Stamina = 17   Index = 0.77   Triads = 14-18-19

• Has 10f+ easily, but needs to exhibit speed side in next prep. These are board-hit numbers, not winning numbers.

• After Lecomte, no change.

CLASS PRESIDENT T Pletcher Uncle Mo

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 50-1

DP = 0-2-2-0-0 (4) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.50 ANZ = 5.00

Mare Profile = 9-2-6-6-7   Speed = 11   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.00   Triads = 17-14-19

• Not bad, not good - middle of the road configurations.

→ COMMANDMENT B Cox Into Mischief

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 20-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 23-1

DP = 1-2-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00   CD = 1.00 ANZ = 11.00

Mare Profile = 3-10-5-7-6   Speed = 13   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.88   Triads = 18-22-18

• Very nicely arranged Into Mischief numbers and performances align. Nice running style with this set-up.

CROSSINGTHECHANNEL M Trombetta Omaha Beach

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 4-10-8-0-0 (22) DI = 4.50   CD = 0.82 ANZ = 6.00

Mare Profile = 6-6-6-4-8   Speed = 12   Stamina = 12   Index = 0.92   Triads = 18-16-18

• 10f is pushing it. Short Forward speed demon - BC Dirt Mile.

CROWN THE BUCKEYE M Maker Yaupon

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ After Lecomte: ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 3-13-4-0-0 (20) DI = 9.00   CD = 0.95 ANZ = 9.00

Mare Profile = 6-1-7-7-6   Speed = 7   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.77   Triads = 14-15-20

• The horse can't figure out his style based on split profiles. He needs to combine his two set-ups. Wait until he does.

• After Lecomte, drop in rating. The horse still wants no parts of his bottom inheritance.

  
  

D'CODE H R Ashford Speightstown

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ FINAL ODDS: 28-1

DP = 4-5-7-0-0 (16) DI = 3.57   CD = 0.81

Mare Profile = 7-4-3-7-5   Speed = 11   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.05   Triads = 14-14-15

• Mare's line historically and completely inferior.

DESERT GATE B Baffert Omaha Beach

Pool 1 Final Odds: 59-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 58-1

DP = 3-4-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.71 ANZ = 6.43

Mare Profile = 7-4-6-4-7   Speed = 11   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.00   Triads = 17-14-17

• Stamina side deficient. Very odd set-up.

ENGLISHMAN C DeVaux Maxfield

Pool 1 Final Odds: 40-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 42-1

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 4.00

Mare Profile = 9-3-3-6-6   Speed = 12   Stamina = 12   Index = 1.14   Triads = 15-12-15

• BC Dirt Mile

EWING M Casse Knicks Go

Pool 1 Final Odds: 45-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 48-1

DP = 1-3-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.63 ANZ = 4.00

Mare Profile = 10-1-6-10-3   Speed = 11   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.23   Triads = 17-17-19

• On the cusp. Sufficient for 10f but not perfection.

EXPRESS KID J Evans Bodexpress

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 3-4-3-0-0 (10) DI = 5.67   CD = 1.00 ANZ = 4.14

Mare Profile = 5-5-3-10-4   Speed = 10   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.86   Triads = 13-18-17

• Poor energy distribution at 1 mile and under and Mares line insufficient - does not bode well for 10f.

→ FURTHER ADO B Cox Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: 21-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 10-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 26-1

DP = 0-3-7-0-0 (10) DI = 1.86   CD = 0.30 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 7-2-5-8-6   Speed = 9   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.84   Triads = 14-15-19

• Speed & endurance capability plus his will & determination dominates many on this list. 10f easy.

INCREDIBOLT R Mott Bolt d'Oro

Pool 1 Final Odds: 34-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 30-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 37-1

DP = 5-10-10-1-0 (26) DI = 3.33   CD = 0.73 ANZ = 3.33

Mare Profile = 11-3-3-5-11   Speed = 14   Stamina = 16   Index = 0.93   Triads = 17-11-19

• He's normal and safe, but split in his inheritance. 10f is borderline.
  

INTREPIDO J Mullins Maximus Mischief

Pool 1 Final Odds: 34-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 87-1

DP = 1-8-5-0-0 (14) DI = 4.60   CD = 0.71 ANZ = 4.60

Mare Profile = 3-6-5-10-4   Speed = 9   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.74   Triads = 14-21-19

• Bad time in the Juvenile, needs a redemption race. 10f is there.
  

IRON HONOR C Brown Nyquist

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 60-1

DP = 0-0-0-0-0 (0) DI = Inf   CD = Inf ANZ = Inf

Mare Profile = 6-1-6-7-8   Speed = 7   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.66   Triads = 13-14-21

• Mares say yes to 10f but zero chefs in the 1st four generations of chart is hard to back. Revisit.

LIBERTY NATIONAL K McPeek Maxfield

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 95-1

DP = 1-5-6-0-0 (12) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.58 ANZ = 2.60

Mare Profile = 8-4-3-10-4   Speed = 12   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.10   Triads = 15-17-17

• 10f is in his wheelhouse - needs to produce the speed side now.

LITMUS TEST B Baffert Nyquist

Pool 1 Final Odds: 141-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 20-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 35-1

DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.79 ANZ = 4.14

Mare Profile = 7-1-7-4-7   Speed = 8   Stamina = 11   Index = 0.88   Triads = 15-12-18

• Inferior set-up. Borderline 10f.

MESQUITE C DeVaux Union Rags

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ After Lecomte: ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 57-1

DP = 5-5-9-1-0 (20) DI = 2.64   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 2.64

Mare Profile = 9-4-2-8-7   Speed = 13   Stamina = 15   Index = 1.00   Triads = 15-14-17

• Would need to power completely through this set-up for it to work in the Derby

• After Lecomte, he kicked up that 2.64 index a notch, good sign & ratings booster but still not Derby worthy configurations.

MOB B Lynch Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 62-1

DP = 0-1-5-0-0 (6) DI = 1.40   CD = 0.17 ANZ = 2.11

Mare Profile = 5-4-4-10-6   Speed = 9   Stamina = 16   Index = 0.69   Triads = 13-18-20

• Typical Gun Runner offspring set up with very respectable configurations historically.

MY WORLD B Cox Essential Quality

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 81-1

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 5.00

Mare Profile = 10-5-3-6-7   Speed = 15   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.22   Triads = 18-14-16 (2nd gen Tapit)

• Great balance and scale, however, heading to Saudi - usually never the same upon return.

NAPOLEON SOLO C Summers Liam's Map

Pool 1 Final Odds: 27-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 40-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ FINAL ODDS: 30-1

DP = 3-13-4-0-0 (20) DI = 9.00   CD = 0.95 ANZ = 10.20

Mare Profile = 5-8-2-6-8   Speed = 13   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.83   Triads = 15-16-16

• No chance at 10f. None.

NEARLY T Pletcher Not This Time

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 50-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 20-1

DP = 2-2-12-0-0 (16) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.38

Mare Profile = 8-9-3-5-8   Speed = 17   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.17   Triads = 20-17-16

• Historically, mares are completely backwards for the Derby. Excellent for the Trail though.

OTTINHO C Brown Quality Road

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 1-3-16-0-0 (20) DI = 1.50   CD = 0.25 ANZ = 2.00

Mare Profile = 7-5-3-7-8   Speed = 12   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.85   Triads = 15-15-18

• 10f Distance is there but Speed side is unbalanced.

→ PALADIN C Brown Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: 40-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 10-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 14-1

DP = 1-4-7-0-0 (12) DI = 2.43   CD = 0.50 ANZ = 4.71

Mare Profile = 5-4-6-6-6   Speed = 9   Stamina = 12   Index = 0.83   Triads = 15-16-18 (2nd gen Tapit)

• Usually not advantaged (2.43 Tapit), however prominent non-chefs push him over to positive speed side.

→ RENEGADE T Pletcher Into Mischief

Pool 1 Final Odds: 48-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 37-1

DP = 1-3-4-0-0 (8) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.63 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 5-9-4-9-5   Speed = 14   Stamina = 14   Index = 1.00   Triads = 18-22-18

• Fantastic set-up and running style for the 10f at Churchill in May. Perfect.

SECURED FREEDOM T Yakteen Practical Joke

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 83-1

DP = 1-2-3-0-0 (6) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.67 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 11-4-3-7-8   Speed = 15   Stamina = 15   Index = 1.12   Triads = 18-14-18

• Safe & boring set-up. Not bad - but, not smashing either.

SO HAPPY M Glatt Runhappy

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 75-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 32-1

DP = 1-2-1-0-0 (4) DI = 7.00   CD = 1.00 ANZ = 11.00

Mare Profile = 5-6-5-8-5   Speed = 11   Stamina = 13   Index = 0.91   Triads = 16-19-18

• Board hit Potential, especially on a "type two" sloppy track.

STRATEGIC RISK M Casse Noble Bird

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 40-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 30-1

DP = 3-4-4-1-0 (12) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.75 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 10-2-3-10-6   Speed = 12   Stamina = 16   Index = 1.00   Triads = 15-15-19

• Not bad, just bland. Needs to display much more speed in next.

→ TED NOFFEY T Pletcher Into Mischief

Pool 1 Final Odds: 10-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ +

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 6-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 6-1

DP = 1-6-1-0-0 (8) DI = 15.00   CD = 1.00 ANZ = 19.00

Mare Profile = 3-10-9-9-2   Speed = 13   Stamina = 11   Index = 1.14   Triads = 22-28-20

• Fantastic colt, Mares side magnificent but chefs side drenched in speed, caution at 10f for now.

THUNDER BUCK B Cox Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 92-1

DP = 1-4-9-0-0 (14) DI = 2.11   CD = 0.43 ANZ = 3.00

Mare Profile = 7-2-5-9-5   Speed = 9   Stamina = 14   Index = 0.88   Triads = 14-16-19

• Capable of 10f+ distance, need more evidence of displayed speed to counteract.

• After Lecomte, no change. Still has time to prove balance, but time is ticking.

→ THUNDEROUSLY W Mott Gun Runner

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 60-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ + FINAL ODDS: 22-1 (That hurts!)

DP = 1-5-4-0-0 (10) DI = 4.00   CD = 0.70 ANZ = 6.00

Mare Profile = 2-6-6-9-6   Speed = 8   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.59   Triads = 14-21-21

• Possibly the best set-up out of the 39 entries here. Historically, he has KILLER NUMBERS. Rain or shine. Secure those odds.

WAYMARK B Cox Liam's Map

Pool 1 Final Odds: N/A Pool 1 DHC Rating: N/A

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 90-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 4-14-6-0-0 (24) DI = 7.00   CD = 0.92 ANZ = 7.00

Mare Profile = 7-7-2-6-7   Speed = 14   Stamina = 13   Index = 1.05   Triads = 16-15-15

• No chance in May. Breeder's Cup Dirt Mile Material.

WHITE TIGER B Cox Constitution

Pool 1 Final Odds: 59-1 Pool 1 DHC Rating: ? ? ?

Pool 3 Opening Odds: 80-1 Pool 3 DHC Rating: ♥ ♥ ♥ ♥ FINAL ODDS: 99-1

DP = 2-9-3-0-0 (14) DI = 8.33   CD = 0.93 ANZ = 9.67

Mare Profile = 6-8-3-6-3   Speed = 14   Stamina = 9   Index = 1.53   Triads = 17-17-12 (2nd gen Tapit)

• I could not rate him during Pool One, but after 8.5f maiden score, Tapit side was revealed with Major Speed.

• After Lecomte, he now disappoints from last. Hold all bets in this pool to see if he redeems himself in next.