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Handicapping - Pedigree - History - Dosage

2021 Kentucky Derby Prep Winners - Champion Series




February 13, 2021 - RISEN STAR

MANDALOUN Results Chart - 9f - Cloudy Fast

DP = 2-3-1-0-0 (6) DI = 11.00 CD = 1.17

Mare Profile = 2-9-6-10-2 Speed = 11 Stamina = 12 Index = 0.95 Triads = 17-25-18

St. Simon: 26.76%

Rating for the Derby: +++ on a clean track. ++++ on a wet track

As with most Into Mischief sons, Mandaloun has extreme high speed inheritance from the minimal amount of chefs in his chart (only 6 points total) coupled with gorgeous triads. We see the same configurations over and over but this time with over double the chef speed on top with that 11.00 index. As is the case with these Into Mischief offspring, they will have a tendency to gravitate to the loaded mares profiles and with a strong and perfect W configuration in the mares 5 digit profile, the opportunity to find success as board hit material is realistically there from the mares but the chefs take away confidence at a win in Kentucky. He will thrive and gain extra lengths on a rainy day which, in that scenario, upgrades him to a 4 star rating. Into Mischief sons swing from both sides in Kentucky with much greater success on a sloppy surface. With an 11.00 chef index, this guy will inevitably be the highest recipient of inbred speed, however with those low 6 total points, he may indeed find his way based on his triads and the fact that he stalks instead of leads.

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February 21, 2021 - HYACINTH STAKES

LA PEROUSE - 1600 meters/ 7.95f

DP = 5-3-6-2-0 (16) DI = 2.20 CD = 0.69

Mare Profile = 4-7-5-7-3 Speed = 11 Stamina = 10 Index = 1.11 Triads = 16-19-15

St. Simon: Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Rating for the Derby: +

Unable to find information as to why Lemon Pop was not entered into this race. He was last seen on Nov 28th, 2020 in the Winners Circle for the Cattleya Sho. Hoping they are looking towards the UAE Derby on March 27th and those 100 points. Lemon Pop would at least have a shot at the roses coming from Japan, unlike La Perouse who not only doesn't stand a chance against Lemon Pop, but these configurations would never work at 10f against our guys. No shot.

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February 27, 2021 - FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH

GREATEST HONOUR Results Chart - 8.5f Clear Fast

DP = 6-9-12-1-0 (28) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.71

Mare Profile = 8-6-0-8-8 Speed = 14 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.92 Triads = 14-14-16

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Rating for the Derby: +++

Two Tapit sons with wins this weekend (Essential Quality updated analysis in the other article). Proof of ability to utilize speed against his Tapit Stamina with that 3.00 index for the 10f Derby lies with Essential Quality at this point, although this prep showed an outstanding performance for Greatest Honour. With Essential Quality, the guesswork has been alleviated due to the commanding win on a sloppy track and his rating skyrocketed. For Greatest Honour, he still remains with the endurance to tackle the 10f distance but we still need to wait for additional proof against that 3.00 disadvantaged Tapit Factor for Churchill. This horse is very good and it is very easy to get put into a trap with these Tapit offspring. With Essential Quality, the trap has been sprung, but with GH we still need caution.

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March 3rd, 2021 - CONDITIONS STAKES - Kempton Park AWS

HIGHLAND AVENUE

DP = 1-12-10-8-1 (32) DI = 1.29 CD = 0.13

Mare Profile = 7-4-5-7-7 Speed = 11 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.88 Triads = 16-16-19

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Rating for the Derby: +++

Son of Dubawi and owned by Godolphin, who most likely will not put this guy up against their other Derby star Essential Quality. Nice chef stamina configurations with half decent mares numbers. Rear runner on AWS.

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March 5th, 2021 - PATTON STAKES - Dundalk - 7f - AWS

MY GENERATION

DP = 4-6-8-0-0 (18) DI = 3.50 CD = 0.78

Mare Profile = 6-4-6-6-5 Speed = 10 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.00 Triads = 16-16-17

St. Simon: 27.15%

Rating for the Derby: FILLY

Cannot read the numbers in the same manner as the colts. Most likely will not see this filly entered into the Derby anyway.

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March 6th, 2021 - SAN FELIPE - Santa Anita - 8.5f - Clear fast

LIFE IS GOOD Results Chart

DP = 1-2-3-0-0 (6) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.67

Mare Profile = 8-7-4-8-6 Speed = 15 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.13 Triads = 19-19-18

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating for the Derby: BAFFERT

Appears that we are reliving last year's scenario with an Into Mischief son trained by Baffert named Authentic (now Life is Good) and an unbeatable Tapit monster named Tiz the Law (now Essential Quality). In comparing Life is Good with Authentic, the mares are offering a better Center of Distribution for Life is Good (.09 as opposed to .19) and the chefs are offering more stamina to Life is Good (.67 as opposed to .83). This means that Life is Good realistically gained more combined stamina than Authentic who won the Derby last year. When the numbers combine, both still fall a tad short of the 10f, and both have (had) board hit numbers, however, that obviously makes no difference. Looks like the top two chalk will make this year another Groundhog's Day with Baffert in the driver's seat yet again. Second place finisher in this race, Medina Spirit, has the 10f without question, however, a Baffert speedster on the lead, no matter what his combined optimum distance portrays, will always have the upper hand. It appears that the race is over - Life is Good vs Essential Quality - TAKE TWO.

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March 6th, 2021 - TAMPA BAY DERBY - Tampa Bay Downs - 8.5f - cloudy fast

DP = 4-3-7-0-0 (14) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.79

Mare Profile = 10-5-3-8-9 Speed = 15 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.97 Triads = 18-16-20

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating: ++++

He stood out as having half decent Derby numbers with Capo Kane when considering him possibly for the Gotham Stakes before being entered here. This guy is now undefeated in his 3 races and he has also run each of those races with distinctively separate styles. His maiden up on the lead, the Display Stakes a bit further back and now with the Tampa Bay Derby he came from the back of the pack to post yet another win. His setup gets him to 9.6f, however his mares are packed up in that profile and triads are a bit better than most. Since he has shown a will to win no matter where he ends up in the early stages of his races, finding that motivation to kick it up to cross the wire first goes a long way as far as the Derby is considered. At this point, he must remain as a player for superfecta consideration because the ability to run from any place on the track and get the job done will go a long way in the chaos of a 20 field gate. His numbers are board hit material at the very least.

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March 6th, 2021 - GOTHAM STAKES - Aqueduct - 8f - cloudy fast

WEYBURN Results Chart

DP = 5-8-10-1-0 (24) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.71

Mare Profile = 8-4-1-7-7 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.95 Triads = 13-12-15

St. Simon: 8.59%

Rating for the Derby: +

The mare's contribution is completely insufficient for the Kentucky Derby.

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March 13th - REBEL STAKES - Oaklawn Park - 8.5f - cloudy fast

CONCERT TOUR Results Chart

DP = 4-4-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.75

Mare Profile = 6-9-0-9-5 Speed = 15 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.11 Triads = 15-18-14

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating for the Derby: BAFFERT

It is not a coincidence that every single solitary Baffert money-making horse has a front running style regardless of their breeding. It is not a coincidence that Baffert campaigns these horses exactly the same, year after year, regardless of bias preference and it is not a coincidence that most of his guys have sub-par ghost numbers that are ultimately meaningless. Bottom line, Concert Tour was bred to hit 9.25f. Weyburn, just above, who I gave a single star rating to based on the mares contributions, has a better mare setup than Concert Tour and that is not a joke. The ONLY thing that Concert Tour may be able to hold onto going longer (other than drugs) is that he is holding Tapit in his second generation. Unlike the others though, his Tapit placement is sitting on the bottom of his chart, not the top, which may affect those dynamics, however, it really doesn't matter in the whole scope of things. Over the history of the Kentucky Derby, colts are highlighted based on several factors that reveal themselves over and over again through their combined balance and configurations in their numbers. Nothing in these numbers depict a standout Derby prospect. Nothing in these numbers depict a lead speed type. Nothing reveals true potential at the 10f distance. The only thing that reveals a top Derby contender as it applies to Concert Tour is the word Baffert. This man has destroyed the purity and magnificence of this sport and the farce of it all just slides under the rug year after year. We are not handicapping horses any more, we are handicapping elite and untouchable trainers. Breeding, at this point, is at the bottom of the barrel. At this point, boxing Baffert's two souped up clones with Essential Quality is basically all the handicapping that may be necessary. I'm bored with it now. Our sport has hit rock bottom and Bob Baffert is responsible. I'm wondering if they will turn a blind eye for just Bob when his colts show up on Derby Day with Lasix and Butazolidin and Jimson Weed and some Salon Pas Patches and God knows what else - while the others will be banned from it. Why not? It's Baffert after all. The magician who trains the same exact wire to wire horse from all different sires. Forget the breeding - just spread him.

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March 20th, 2021 - LOUISIANA DERBY - Fairgrounds - 1-3/16 - cloudy fast

HOT ROD CHARLIE Results Chart

DP = 1-4-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.60

Mare Profile = 11-1-5-11-3 Speed = 12 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.27 Triads = 17-17-19

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Deputy Minister → Bunty Lawless

RATING FOR THE DERBY: ++

Extremely impressive win at 9.5f against a few top 2021 probables. As far as numbers and his speed/stamina balance for 10f, there is alot to be desired. It appears that Charlie has an optimum distance of exactly 9f based on his configurations. His speed is generated from his mares and that 11 points in the brilliant spot (first slot) of his mares profile is shifting everything he inherited to the left, leaving him with a very high 1.27 mare index. He has more stamina on top with a very nice .60 CD, and his triads aren't half bad, but his mares profile is watering it all down. His inheritance in balance is similar to horses like Bolt d'Oro, Noble Indy, Enticed, Laoban, & By My Standards. (He actually reminds me of Tenfold for some reason, who was actually holding more mare stamina.) All had 3.00 chef indexes with very high mare indexes and half decent triads. In the cases of two of those examples, the triads gave some hope, however, one must take into account everything across both lines in order not to fall for the trap. The mare's speed always takes over (especially when chefs points total is low) which makes those triads very deceiving for the 10f distance. Yes, he did hit this 9.5f wire to wire, which contradicts his apparent balance, however, depending on capabilities of the others on the field may allow a horse to win any race at any distance. They will all cross the finish line at some point and sometimes it is the luck of the draw or the dynamics of the race that actually prevail. The balance of all of the numbers does not calculate to 10f, it calculates to 9f. If he favors his chefs, his true distance could rise to maybe 9.2f but that is still quite short and its doubtful with only 10 chef points in his profile. He is also a 50/50 probability of gaining extra lengths on a sloppy track as well. His mares offer him some hope there, however the .60 CD could steal all hope away in that scenario. He's a very good horse but he is not built for 10f. He may see some advantage in the Preakness, but the Derby is out of his paygrade. The glaring difference between Charlie and his sire Oxbow is that Oxbow was packing 30 chefs points, which means that Oxbow favored the chefs over the mares. Not the case with Charlie. This is in the same realm as Honor A.P. and his grandsire A.P. Indy. Both Oxbow and AP Indy were much more packed on the chef side which buries the mares and their terrific chef's CD's did not get watered down. Opposite with Charlie and Honor A.P.

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March 27th, 2021 - JEFF RUBY STAKES - Turfway - 9f - clear fast

LIKE THE KING Results Chart

DP = 3-8-7-0-0 (18) DI = 4.14 CD = 0.78

Mare Profile = 7-4-0-7-11 Speed = 11 Stamina = 18 Index = 0.62 Triads = 11-11-18

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating for the Derby: ++++

There is alot to talk about with this guy so bear with me. I gave him a 4 star rating based on his balance, however, I could have just as easily given him a 2 star based on other factors. Opting for the 4 star because what I have seen happen year after year is that to disregard those numbers for other reasons is often a huge mistake. On the one hand, this guy is packing a beautiful 4.18 chef index with a reasonably low CD next to it. This chef setup works in the Derby. His mares are offering a large 7 point spread leaning to stamina which, by all accounts, is the perfect balance in combination. His numbers combine to a potential optimum of 10.9f which is magnificent. So based on the numbers, this horse is set-up very nicely for the Kentucky race. He has run in 6 races so far, hitting 1st and 2nd in 5 of them and 3rd in one of them. He has successfully competed on all 3 surfaces in every different early position he could possibly run. These factors all point to a top player and a colt to be reckoned with, hence the 4 stars. On the other hand, the reasons for struggling with his set-up and highly considering the 2 star rating is based on the same exact reasons that I opted for the 4 stars. That breeding, his different styles and the ability to run on all 3 surfaces is separating his numbers. Because he is so spit up between his chefs and mares it is almost as if they are not "blending" and he is running to both sides of the spectrum separately and on SEPERATE OCCASIONS. It is almost like he can't pick a side because of it and his numbers are not interlocking, they are remaining separated. Although his races are successful, sometimes he runs completely in line with his chefs (on dirt, fast up front, stalking short) and other times he is running directly in line with those mares (successful on turf and AWS with 3 different running styles). His triads are so lopsided to stamina that it appears they are competing against his chefs, not blending with his chefs. It is extremely odd, however it seems to be working for him based on his resume. I do not believe I have ever come across such a horse with such a correct set-up that apparently stays separated. Since this is uncharted territory, the 4 stars will remain. He has the distance of the Derby, he has speed on top, he likes to be up front but if the chaos of the large Derby field keeps him in the back, he has proven that he can rely on those mares if he needs to. Therefore, he is Derby material regardless of the fact that his numbers are not locking together and that he is running from both sides separately. Not sure which horse will show up on Derby Day. This horse appears to be performing with two different lives but he is somehow making it work. It is quite unique. After all is said and done, he can run the 10f of the Derby without question and basically that is all the criteria that needs to be met as far as the Derby is concerned when it comes to the numbers. He must be kept in our back pockets based on those numbers.

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March 27th, 2021 - FLORIDA DERBY - Gulfstream - 9f - clear fast

KNOWN AGENDA Results Chart

DP = 4-5-8-4-1 (22) DI = 1.44 CD = 0.32

Mare Profile = 10-3-0-6-13 Speed = 13 Stamina = 19 Index = 0.72 Triads = 13-9-19

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating for the Derby: +++ if Rombauer gets a gate ++++ if Rombauer is not in a gate.

What a race! I have watched this race at least a dozen times and each time there is something else to learn. For me, this was one of the best preps I've seen in a couple of years and there is so much here. First, Greatest Honour. Do not allow his third place in this race to misjudge his distance capability. He has the 10f but his 3.00 Tapit stamina is playing against him and against his speed. Unlike Essential Quality who displayed success in his ability to overcome that 3.00 Tapit curse while demolishing that sloppy track, it does not appear that Greatest Honour is doing the same based on several factors - inability to beat speedsters going short, 4 tries to break early maidens, style of running from back of pack leans to favoritism of that stamina. Greatest Honour has the 10f, he probably has 12f, but just like all the other 3.00 Tapit offspring from the past, success in the Derby is a hazard based on that 3.00 index. The next point comes from Baffert's barn, Spielberg. He could not beat Collaborate, which confirms that at least one of Baffert's colts is running directly in line with his numbers - disastrous for the Derby. The next point may not jive with others thoughts, but again, after watching this replay at least 15 times, I cannot close my eyes to it. In defeat and in coming in second, I see Soup and Sandwich as being much more impressive than the actual winner of this race in more ways than one. As far as configurations and the Into Mischief factor, Soup and Sandwich put on a killer performance from his first step out of that gate to every length in between. This horse is very very talented and his class skyrocketed after going from Maiden to Allowance to Derby Prep. He needed to combine his beyers from his previous two races to be competitive here and he did not disappoint - he did exactly that. He is a force to be reckoned with and will see an advantage in the Derby rain or shine. The pace in this prep was strong and he put away Nova Rags brilliantly coming from the outside like a champ. He did not falter and he did not let up. Showed killer determination as the underdog and that is all breeding. He is definitely Derby material - maybe not a strong win advantage but a definite board hit advantage, especially if it rains. Now, Known Agenda... he capitalized off of a strong pace with his stamina breeding. Nice stamina numbers top and bottom but lacks somewhat in the triads. He will be matched up with Rombauer (if he makes a gate) and in that case, Rombauer exceeds. If Rombauer is absent, Known Agenda will be left without a peer in that stamina category and will be the recipient of advantage by default. When Known Agenda's numbers are combined, he falls at a NEGATIVE .12 CD which depicts 11.5f capability - which is not surprising coming from this category. Just like Rombauer (11.25f capability), he will need to rely on the pace and on lead speedsters who do not have the 10f - which at this point is not going to be the case. He has the 10f easily and without question and will see an edge without Rombauer involved. What a fantastic race this was and one that will play a major role in handicapping the Kentucky Derby.

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March 27th, 2021 - UAE DERBY - Meydan - 1-3/16th clear fast

REBEL'S ROMANCE

DP = 2-8-3-8-1 (22) DI = 1.10 CD = 0.09

Mare Profile = 6-3-2-8-9 Speed = 9 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.61 Triads = 11-13-19

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Rating for the Derby: ++ Rating for the Belmont: +++++

As usual, high stamina takes the UAE Derby and as usual, an overseas colt with killer stamina numbers that stand out far above those on this side of the ocean. If this horse takes the plane ride, at this moment - (before the SA Derby) - he will have the highest amount of distance capability on the entire Derby field. His combined numbers show 12.3f potential which defeats any advantage in the Derby (as it usually does.) As it goes year after year, the breeding of these overseas monsters (especially with William Buick in the saddle) always puts our stamina guys to shame and there is no comparison in that regard, however, where they supersede in stamina they lose in speed, which is a major component of advantage in the Derby. If this guy takes the ride, he should wait for the Belmont Stakes, and this way, he will at least enter a gate with a clear advantage on his side. These types suffer in the Derby, not for lack of breeding credentials but because those credentials are counter to the balance favored in the Derby. At the very least, he has the distance blindfolded and he would need the cleanest track to even be considered.

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March 27th, 2021 - FUKURYU - Nakayama - 8.94f

GOD SELECTION

DP = 0-0-6-4-0 (10) DI = 0.43 CD = -0.40

Mare Profile = 1-4-6-9-7 Speed = 5 Stamina = 16 Index = 0.41 Triads = 11-19-22

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Literat → Herald

Rating for the Derby: + Rating for the Belmont: ++++

Talk about stamina inheritance - Holy Smokes! This guy even puts Rebel's Romance to shame. With a combined CD of NEGATIVE .83, this guy's combined distance potential is 13.85f. He has barely a pixie-dust amount of inbred speed with zeros in his brilliant and intermediate slots in his chefs profile and a tiny bit coming from the Mares. He is not nominated for the Kentucky Derby and that may actually be a good thing for him. It takes an enormous amount of speed coupled with an enormous amount of stamina to be a player in the Derby. He can run the Derby track twice over but he could never compete with the necessary speed our guys are bred with. Obviously, he has the Belmont distance without a shadow of a doubt but it would be highly unlikely that he will take a gate - but we shall see.

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April 1, 2021 - CONDITION STAKES - Chelmsford - 8f

FUNDAMENTAL

DP = 1-1-3-4-1 (10) DI = 0.54 CD = -0.30

Mare Profile = 5-5-3-10-7 Speed = 10 Stamina = 17 Index = 0.67 Triads = 13-18-20

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy.

Configurations in line with God Selection above. Major stamina top and bottom and everywhere in between. Not nominated for the Derby. Going back where he belongs - on turf.

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April 3, 2021 - BLUEGRASS STAKES - Keeneland - 9f

ESSENTIAL QUALITY Results Chart

DP = 5-12-14-1-0 (32) DI = 3.00

Mare Profile = 12-3-2-2-12 Speed = 15 Stamina = 14 Index = 1.04 Triads = 17-7-16

St. Simon: Top Influence linebreeds to Mr. Prospector → Teddy

Rating for the Derby: +++++

He has the displayed speed and he has the stamina. Nothing changes here. A definite advantaged competitor in the Derby. But he is vulnerable for the win spot.

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April 3, 2021 - SANTA ANITA DERBY - Santa Anita - 9f

ROCK YOUR WORLD Results Chart

DP = 3-4-8-1-0 (16) DI = 2.20 CD = 0.56

Mare Profile = 2-3-4-7-8 Speed = 5 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.41 Triads = 9-14-19

St. Simon: Top linebreeds to Fappiano → Teddy

Rating For the Derby - ++++++++++

That's right, that's the rating I give this guy - 10! He gets double the highest rating! Midrange B-E-A-S-T! Looks like we are looking at the second coming of Shared Belief and Gun Runner but this time on the lead in perfect position running out front like a CHAMP on that slick Santa Anita track... He's going the Derby distance without breaking a sweat. Bred like a monster for the Belmont Stakes. They can't touch him there. Stamina laden FREAK out of the champion sire Candy Ride. Look at those mares numbers! Straight across the line! It literally brings tears to my eyes. That's perfection for a lead stamina guy. Displaying speed like that with those configurations! The only way this horse has any competition in the Kentucky Derby is if it rains. When his mares and chefs are combined, he reveals a combined optimum distance of... (are you sitting down?)... 12.9 FREAKIN FURLONGS!!!! ON THE LEAD!!! I just can't even contain myself! His mare's five digit profile 2-3-4-7-8 is the absolute perfect progression as he passes each distance category. Nothing gets watered down. 10 major points leaning to the stamina side. Built like a rocket for the Belmont but with his running style he has it all for the Derby too. He sits in that disadvantaged category but that didn't stop Country House or Street Sense or Barbaro or I'll Have Another or Seattle Slew or Affirmed - when they have that mare endurance that allows them to run like the wind whenever they want and wherever they want, there is no stopping them. This horse is a serious champion, bred like a steam engine and appears to be the recipient of the highest inbred amount of stamina that will be entered into the Derby this year so far. That includes those in the proper stamina category. Watching him in that stretch, there was shades of the Champ Shared Belief all over the place. What a feeling! Wow! My heart is still pounding! Rock Your World's race is the Belmont Stakes even with a blindfold on and even if he gives them all a 5 second start. He is also stacked for the Derby with an incredible advantage on his side even though his sits in that midrange category. It is his style that puts him in the drivers seat and with that unceasing stamina of his, the sky is the limit. What is even more sensational about this win is that this horse walked into that Santa Anita gate with the highest disadvantage on the entire field. Medina Spirit had the second highest disadvantage and they hit that exacta, but RYW was on a completely different stratosphere. This guy is undefeated on two separate surfaces. He runs on the lead. He is bred to run almost 13f. Is there anything out there that compares to that?! I sure do hope that the "know-it-alls" stick with Baffert's clones. When a horse who is built like him explodes on a fast slick dirt track - you are looking at a monster who will perform even better on a clean track at Churchill Downs. Candy Ride deserves CHEF STATUS at this point. This is the very first write up for any Derby Prep winner (including past years) that I was actually excited to type. Unbeatable. 10 star rating. To be a fly on the wall in Baffert's camp! I love it! No lasix gives him an extra boost. The only slight knock is the St. Simon factor. There is always something that puts a slight kink in the chain, but this is why I gave him 10 stars instead of 12! This horse is the best I've seen on this side of the ocean since Shared Belief and this will be the first year that I will not pray for a muddy track. He will walk into the Belmont Stakes with a better advantage than the Derby, however, he will still be extremely competitive with that challenge. I know I should just keep my mouth shut for now, but I can't - he deserves the accolades and this is the type I dream about every year.

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April 3, 2021 - WOOD MEMORIAL - Aqueduct - 9f - clear fast

BOURBONIC Results Chart

DP = 2-6-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.63

Mare Profile = 8-3-2-6-8 Speed = 11 Stamina = 14 Index = 0.88 Triads = 13-11-16

St. Simon: 37.69%

Rating for the Derby: +++

Beautiful percentage that linebreeds to St. Simon. He has a combined 10.3f capability. He has speed on top which he reserves til the end. With his speed on top, he has a nicer advantage than Known Agenda coming from the back. More inherited speed to work with late. His triads are lacking a great deal, however... and since this will be the last entry on this article before the analysis - Well, I'll leave it at that for now.


NEXT UP: The 2021 Kentucky Derby Analysis


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