Just some cool facts ...last 6 Years ... that's all that's offered over the web with past performances .... anybody that has PP"S Belmont Stakes 2011 or earlier please share .... thank you ....
Last 6 Years
3/6 Winners of Belmont have had the Dam Average Winning Distance 8.1 to 8.5
This Year's horse's with Dam Side 8.0 or above .... Vino Rosso / 8.0 ....Freed Drop Billy / 8.1
1st or 2nd Place last 6 Years
If you combine the Sire and Dam Average Winning Distance .... 6 in Win position / 6 in Place Position ...
1 out 12 Possible spots had a combine Sire/Dam Avg. Winning Distance of below 14 .... in 2015 Winner American Pharoah had 13.8 ( Triple Crown Runner )
If tailing the above you would eliminate 2 horses from a shot at finishing in 1st or 2nd place .... by far not a say all ... just looking over numbers guys
Seahenge ... Avg Win distance 13.7
Noble Indy ....Avg Win distance 13.2
4/6 Winners ...a Difference of 1.00 or More between the Sire and Dam Average Winning Distance
This year's contenders with a 1.00 or more difference between the Sire and Dam Average Winning Distance
Only 1 Horse ... wow ...Hmmmm ...
Free Drop Billy 1.00
4/6 Winners have had the Dam Average Winning Distance higher than the Sire Winning Distance
with the smallest advantage of the 4 winners being .5 of a difference
2016 Winner Creator had Dam Avg Win Dist 8.5 Sire Avg Win Dist 7.5
The Dam Avg Win Dist was 1.00 better than the Sire Avg win Dist
So if liking this angle ....not a say all ...again just looking at numbers
Contenders who have at least a .5 Advantage on the Dam Avg win Dist ...
Free Drop ... 8.1 Dam / 7.1 Sire
Gronkowski ...7.5 Dam / 6.8 Sire
Vino Rosso ....8.0 Dam / 7.5 Sire ........... feel this horse is very under the radar Pletcher entry
Now all winners last 6 years had a difference of .5 between Sire and Dam or Dam and Sire ....
2017 Winner Tapwrit Dam Avg Win Dist 6.7 to Sire Avg Win Dist 7.5 ... that's a difference of .8 ... which is higher than the .5 difference needed ...if tailing this angle .... of course ...your call ... just sharing
This year's Contenders who have the .5 advantage between the Sire and Dam
Free Drop Billy 1.00
Noble Indy .6
Restoring Hope .5
Vino Rosso .5
Only 3 horses don't have a .5 advantage in either the Sire or Dam Avg Win Distance
2nd Place in Belmont last 6 years ... probably nothing here but posting anyway ...something I noticed
5/6 that finished in 2nd Place had a higher Sire Avg Win Dist than a Dam Avg Win Dist by .8 or more ??? WOW !!! Weird !!!!
Only horse that falls under this weird small angle
Bravazo .8 Diff ... Sire higher than Dam avg win dist ... dam 6.6 to sire 7.4
Nothing set in stone here guys ...just number crunching , is all ...