FRIDAY'S BIAS

Talk of the bias yesterday was that the track was playing fairly even however, the bias as far as inheritance was definitely catering to speed. The track was saturated prior and with the exception of the Juvenile winner, Game Winner, speed type horses were definitely hitting those top spots and the board all day. (fillies as well)

I am not sure if today will find that the track has dried out any more and I will be looking closely at the early races and throughout the day to see if today matches yesterday. The moisture on that track made a huge difference and if that holds up all day and into this race, everything gets flipped. Speed leaning horses like West Coast, Accelerate, McKinzie, Biscuits and Discreet Lover will have the advantage. If it is all dried out by 5:45 tonight, then the advantage will remain with Catholic Boy, Thunder Snow, Mendelssohn as it has in the past.

Friday's Dirt Winners:

Race 2 -

Jack Van Berg - 3.00

Captain Von Trapp - 3.80

Straight Shot - 3.44

Race 3

Casino Star - 3.36

M G Warrior 3.40

Shareholder Value - 7.00

Race 4

Improbable - 4.23

Trophy Chaser - 3.00

Distant Shore - 2.43

Race 7

Jaywalk - 3.80

Restless Rider - 3.40

Vibrance - 2.11

It would be very important to gauge what TYPE is hitting today to see if the track has dried out or dries out throughout today's races. There are 2 types of Bias and most will only look at the bias of running styles (lead, mid-pack, rear). The other type is speed inheritance vs stamina inheritance. Yesterday absolutely catered to speed inheritance which is opposite of what Churchill Downs Breeders races has produced in the past. If the track remains the same as yesterday, everything must get flipped.

I will try to update this post throughout the day today to see whether the track is producing the same as yesterday.